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Title Preliminary investigation and dynamic analysis of a multiphase ice‑rock avalanche on July 5, 2021, in the upper Naltar valley, Gilgit, Pakistan
Sub-Title
Subject Ice-rock avalanche · Propagation modeling · Highspeed long-runout · Upper Naltar valley Pakistan
Sub-Subject
Author Hasnain Gardezi · Aiguo Xing · Muhammad Bilal · Yu
Publish Year 2022
Supervisor
Diss#. DOI 10.1007/s10346-021-01840-0
Chapters
Pages
Text Language English
Accession
Library Section Research Article
Abstract On July 5, 2021, a catastrophic rock avalanche hit an area in the upper Naltar valley, located in northwestern Gilgit, Pakistan. The 14 Mm3 rock mass flowed down the hillslope and traveled a distance of approximately 5 km. The avalanche killed four people and damaged more than 150 livestock. Based on a field investigation, the event is classified as a dual-phase avalanche comprising glacial ice and rock mass mixtures. In this study, the runout behavior and characteristics of the upper Naltar rock avalanche are analyzed using DAN3D. The simulation results indicate that the propagation process lasted for 140 s, with an average maximum velocity of 32 m/s. The frictional-Voellmy model for the materials in the source and erosion areas produced the best results for DAN3D. Parameter calibration, model performance, and verification were performed numerically and based on field observations. It is hoped that the selected model and parameters will help the relevant agencies understand the propag